Jumping on early NFL lines like a -3 shifting to -4.5 can feel tempting, but...

https://fernandosmastercolumns.swiftnestly.com/posts/why-do-i-feel-more-confident-early-in-the-season-with-less-evidence

Jumping on early NFL lines like a -3 shifting to -4.5 can feel tempting, but the info behind those moves often lacks real value. Early odds are noisy, driven more by reaction than data